zweitstimme.org

# zweitstimme.org
### Klara Müller (University of Mannheim)
### Marcel Neunhoeffer (LMU Munich)
### 24 September 2021

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## We started zweitstimme.org in 2016 to communicate uncertainty associated with election polling.

<p align="center">
<img src = "img/bbc_2016.png" height = 460px />
</p>
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## We started zweitstimme.org in 2016 to communicate uncertainty associated with election polling.

<p align="center">
<img src = "img/zweitstimme_2017.png" height = 460px />
</p>
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## We started zweitstimme.org in 2016 to communicate uncertainty associated with election polling.

<p align="center">
<img src = "img/sz.png" height = 460px />
</p>
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## Three things we can say for the election on Sunday.

+ ### The race is still open.
+ ### The political district map is likely to be very colorful.
+ ### The Bundestag will likely be the biggest ever.

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## Our forecast for Sunday shows that the race is still open.

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## The map of district winners is likely to be the most colorful since 1953.

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## We are very certain that the next Bundestag will be the biggest Bundestag ever.

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## We expect that several coalitions will have seat majorities in the next Bundestag.

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## We can assign probabilities of getting elected for all 6,211 candidates.

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## zweitstimme.org is a team effort.

<table class="fixed">
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    <td> <p align="center"><img src="img/gschwend.jpg"  alt="Thomas Gschwend" height = 150px ><br> Thomas Gschwend <br>University of Mannheim</p> </td>
    <td> <p align="center"><img src="img/mueller.jpg"  alt="Klara Müller" height = 150px ><br> Klara Müller <br>University of Mannheim</p> </td>
    <td> <p align="center"><img src="img/munzert.jpg"  alt="Simon Munzert" height = 150px ><br> Simon Munzert <br>Hertie School</p> </td>
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</table>

<table class="fixed">
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    <td> <p align="center"><img src="img/neunhoeffer.jpg"  alt="Marcel Neunhoeffer" height = 150px ><br> Marcel Neunhoeffer <br>LMU Munich</p> </td>
    <td> <p align="center"><img src="./img/stoetzer.jpg"  alt="Lukas F. Stoetzer" height = 150px ><br> Lukas F. Stoetzer <br>HU Berlin</p> </td>

</tr> 
</table>

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## You can find our forecast and more details about our models on our homepage.

<a href="https://zweitstimme.org">zweitstimme.org</a>
``

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Slides created via the R packages:

[**xaringan**](https://github.com/yihui/xaringan)<br>
[gadenbuie/xaringanthemer](https://github.com/gadenbuie/xaringanthemer)

The chakra comes from [remark.js](https://remarkjs.com), [**knitr**](http://yihui.name/knitr), and [R Markdown](https://rmarkdown.rstudio.com).